Post draft review
June 6, 2008
(1) The Indians selected Lonnie Chisenhall in the first round. Most I checked with today think he is a first round talent on talent alone. However a lot of number of guys think that you have to include makeup and, when you do, he is not a first round talent. So you take your pick. Bottom line: the guy can hit and, as a college SS, he may have versatility to play other positions, although being a below average runner limits that somewhat.
(2) In rounds 2-4 they made a series of inexcusable picks. My opinion is that they need to not sign these guys and just get their 2nd and 3rd round picks and save the bonus that our 4th round pick no way deserves.
(3) They picked in up a little in the 5th round picking Zach Putnam, the 50th ranked prospect in the country and Jeremie Tice, a good hitting collegian who was not in the top 200.
On the second day of the draft I look for how risky a team is. The way I gauge that is how many top prospects do they take a shot at, top prospects that, for some reason, have dropped out of the top 5 rounds. Last year, for example, the Indians drafted Cole St. Clair, Matt Hague and Matt Brown, all top 200 prospects, in the 7th-13th round and a couple of other guys with upside, Joey Mahalic and Chris Jones. After that draft John Mirabelli said that he didn't take enough chances on these types of guys later in the draft.
Well, John went us one better this year when he took just ONE BA top 200 player (Glenn House in the 16th round) after the 5th round of the draft when there were LOTS of guys still avialable all the way in rounds in the 40s. House was the 100th best prospect in the US but is considered unsignable. Now, to be fair, a lot of the guys they drafted, maybe more than any other year in my memory, were at least mentioned in BA's state-by-state rankings but NONE of the rest of these guys are really considered top prospects. They are all, at best, flyers, if they even sign, which a lot of our late HS draftees did not last year. Even their senior signs stunk in comparison to other available college seniors and there were lots of good senior signs still available when they drafted some of these other guys.
So, in summary, the Indians today followed a ridiculously bad first day (that may only be saved if Chisenhall can keep his nose clean and can hit with some power and play a prime position (SS, 2B or C) AND Putnam can reach his peak as a pitcher) by taking almost ZERO chances and drafting almost ZERO guys with obvious significant upside on the second day. Not to say these guys don't have SOME upside but when you are selecting guys like the #22 prospect in Kentucky or Nevada it is hard to say that you are a selecting a prime draft pick.
The Indians took as close to ZERO chances the second day of the draft. The good news it won't cost them much money. The bad news is that you get what you pay for and this draft, even more so than the extremely disappointing 2007 draft where they had one of the lowest budgets in the draft, is looking like a real stinker right now.
So, the only questions that remain now are:
(a) Is anyone going to come clean and say that the Indians had a miniscule draft budget this year?
(2) After this draft, the 2007 draft and John Mirabelli's body of pathetic draft work since 2000, how long are Brad Grant and John Mirabelli going to keep their jobs?
Again, I vote NOT to sign our 2nd, 3rd and 4th round picks AT ALL this year. That strategy is the one that best assures us of getting the most out of this draft: Chisenhall and two prime draft picks next year. It may not be a popular view but, in my opinion, it is the best option the Indians have at this point.
This could and probably will go down as one of the worst drafts in Indians' history and I don't say that lightly. Last year at least had the the excuse of no second and third round picks. Unless I miss my guess this year's draft class will be MUCH worse than last year's and THAT is a bad sign for the Indians when you have two unproductive drafts two years in a row.
In my website article later this weekend I will give an alternate draft list that I came up with, a lot before the draft but a lot as the draft was going along. Until then, thanks for reading.