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David Murphy joins the party at the Corner of Carnegie & Ontario

...where do the Indians go from here?

David Murphy joins the party at the Corner of Carnegie & Ontario
November 20, 2013
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Rumors of the first real move of the offseason were wafting through the air here at the Corner of Carnegie and Ontario on Tuesday night when the Indians reportedly came to an agreement with former Texas and Boston outfielder David Murphy.

The rumors proved to be fact as the hours passed by into Wednesday, as Jordan Bastian broke the official word on Twitter that the Indians had signed Murphy to a two-year, $10-ish million dollar contract.

The game is on this offseason.

First moves always bring out first emotions.

It’s inevitable.

Fans don’t know the complete picture yet for the Indians front office heading into 2014, and when you combine fan expectations with the unknown of free agency and the hot stove season, you get early conclusions.

I, for one, love them all, and David Murphy certainly brings out those conclusions.

Before we get into that though, who exactly is David Murphy?

He’s a left-handed outfielder for one, and addresses the need that Chris Antonetti specifically mentioned in his latest interview with Sirious/XM Radio.

He’s played most of his career in left field, and has done it quite well, but has also played over a full season of games at right, and can play center in a pinch. In other words, he’s versatile, and we all know that Terry Franconaloves versatile players.

In Texas, he was mostly a bench player. Okay, that’s a loaded term. In Texas, he was mostly a fourth outfielder. Thanks to oft-injured players such as Josh Hamilton, Murphy played a lot of games. From 2008 through 2013, Murphy never logged less than 108 games.

He became a starter for the Rangers in 2013, but mostly by default. He did have a phenomenal 2012 season, but the Rangers were on the hunt for a deal with the Arizona Diamondbacks for Justin Upton. In other words, they didn’twant Murphy to be the starter.

It’s not because Murphy isn’t a great player.

He is, in a specific role, perfect for what any team asks for.

He’s a ready-to-order bat and glove that can come in and perform better than a typical reserve.

Does that sound familiar?

Think Mike Aviles.

Think Ryan Raburn.

Now think David Murphy.

Murphy also has connections to the Indians’ manager, Terry Francona.

As mentioned initially, Murphy played for the Boston Red Sox in parts of the 2006 and 2006 seasons. Now, let’s not go overboard here. Murphy only played in 23 major league games for the Sox over 1 ½ seasons, before he was dealt to the Rangers for the closer formerly known as Eric Gagne.

But he’s a familiar player that Terry Francona knows. He’s part of that network of players that Francona has built over the years. It’s been an interesting watch to see how Francona relates to both the players that has played for him and against him. He’s really more than a manager at the end of the day. I’ve always believed that the best managers in the game were a combination of understanding the stats and history of the game, and combining that with understanding people.

Francona does both very well, and he always fills in the gaps with a coaching staff that can fill in the holes.

Murphy was clearly a guy that the Indians and Francona targeted and brought in. He was part of that Francona family.

He was never a star in the minors, and he was never a star in the majors…he just produced.

He can hit right handed pitching very well. His career average is a solid .280, and 79 of his 86 career homers come from that side of the plate. He’s not horrible from the other side, hitting .259 against lefties, but his sample size is small there.

Why?

The Rangers used him mostly against right handed pitching.

That was his job, and will be again with the Indians.

To put it a bit into perspective, Ryan Raburn hit .308 with the Indians last year against lefties. He wasn’t really protected, since Raburn’s career splits aren’t horrible against righties.

But he’s better against lefties, and the Indians used him in a way that maximized his abilities. That’s where Terry Francona and his coaching staff excels.

David Murphy fits that same mode.

He’s also a fantastic defender.

Heading into the 2012 season, Murphy questioned his defense, even though he’s always been an exceptional defender. "There's been too many balls over the course of last year and the previous years that have been question marks in my mind after the fact and after the play was over," Murphy said. "I'm thinking in my mind, 'Should I have caught that ball?' That used to not be the case with me. I used to be a lot more sure of myself defensively. This is a very great defensive club, so I definitely want to pull my weight in that area.”

In 2012, Murphy made only one error.

He played in 147 games.

That’s the kind of player that David Murphy is.

That’s the kind of player that Terry Francona loves, as he really fits in the Raburn, Swisher, Giambi mold. He’s a team player, a great clubhouse guy, and a player that can perform on the field when he’s put into a situation that allows him to succeed.

The Indians will do that.

Of course, there are those expectations I talked about at the beginning of this week’s corner.

There are some trends to keep in mind with Murphy as we head into the 2014 season.

He starts off the season slow. He’s a career .228 hitter in March and April. After that month though, his average continues to climb throughout the season, never going below .264. He hits .264 in May, .272 in June, .275 in July, .298 in August and .302 in September.

He heats up.

His career splits were even better prior to his 2013 struggles. After April, his monthly averages were all over .287.

One bad season really brought him down.

It allowed the Indians to sign him at a contract that was lower than his near $6 million dollar, one-year deal that he signed with the Rangers prior to last season.

But, they did have to offer him a multi-year deal, reportedly with some sort of third year option.

Expectations.

Murphy isn’t Carlos Beltran.

Murphy will never be a legitimate all-star.

Murphy will never carry a team to a World Series.

Murphy isn’t the big splash that I talked about last week, when I suspended disbelief and begged the Cleveland Indians to send in the hounds and bring in the stars to carry this team to a World Series championship that Cleveland needs.

What Murphy is, is a complimentary part that glues together a lineup, and while the Indians on paper might not look a whole lot better than last year, it does fill in a hole.

Preferably, the Indians would find a slugger that can add three-to-five wins. Of course, those types of players are generally too expensive for the Indians to sign. With the Red Sox in on Carlos Beltran, he is clearly going to be out of play.

What the Indians have now is a “player” in Raburn and Murphy who, if they can continue to perform at their sabr-standards, could provide that very value.

They could hit 30 homers. They could drive in 80 runs. They could be the right fielder we need.

But expectations are high for free agents, especially after the Indians rebuilt their team last year. Murphy clearly isn’t enough.

So, what is next for the Indians?

There are two clear needs that the Indians will move to, and that’s the starting rotation and the bullpen. You can also bet that two names will be mentioned a lot over the next few days with regards to potential trades.

Those two players are Michael Bourn and Drew Stubbs.

Stubbs will likely make a similar amount to David Murphy after arbitration this year, and since his position is now redundant with the signing of Murphy, the Indians really don’t need him. Sure, he could be a depth option, but the Indians likely have some players now developing in the minors that can be much more cost effective.

Sure, you have to love his speed, but with Jose Ramirez a likely option for the big league club heading into the season, late inning base running duties that would go to Stubbs is now redundant, and with the multi-faceted Murphy as the platoon/fourth outfielder, there really isn’t a need to carry both.

Of course, that’s if the Indians aren’t considering dealing Michael Bourn.

The realities are that the escalation of Bourn’s contract make him less likely to be dealt. Does that mean they won’t?

Not necessarily. There are teams that need a centerfielder, and teams that have the money to take on that contract. It’s not likely, but it’s possible.

The Indians could tender Stubbs a contract knowing that they’d be able to deal Stubbs if they had to, but allowing them to dangle Bourn out in a possible deal for a team that was hoping he would “regress” to his pre-2013 numbers.

Options.

The Indians built options for themselves last offseason, and by doing so, when Bourn fell into their laps, they were able to make the move.

That could happen again, and if they can gain value by dealing Bourn and adding Stubbs to the lineup, they will do it.

I know, I know, you don’t think keeping Stubbs is equal to Bourn in center, and that may very well be true. It also may be true that Bourn’s struggles last season were part of a several season regression that won’t stop any time soon. If that’s the case, Stubbs and Bourn are actually very similar players.

Keeping Stubbs at $5 to $6 million is far more cost effective than Bourn at $13.5 million.

It’s a gamble working under the assumption that the Indians feel Bourn will continue down that path, and that the return for him, likely a starter or a reliever, or a prospect, would outweigh his loss.

Think of it in terms of the Stubbs deal last year. The Indians got Stubbs as essentially a throw in. The Indians could utilize Bourn to gather in a player that the Indians want, and get a throw in to add to their development.

Now that’s not a likely scenario, because the fans of the Indians aren’t the only ones concerned about his struggles in 2013. If we see it, so do the other major league teams.

But there are always teams that come knocking.

Options are what the Indians have now.

What I can assuredly say though, is that the Indians are done working for a right fielder. They have that position filled up right now, and that leaves only one or two position questions heading into 2014.

The catcher position has Yan GomesCarlos Santana and presumably, a third player, if the Indians deem it necessary.

First base has Nick Swisher, Carlos Santana and even Mike Aviles in a pinch.

Second base has Jason Kipnis, with Jose Ramirez now a major league ready option if there is injury.

Shortstop has Asdrubal Cabrera, with Jose Ramirez now a major league ready option if there is injury or trade…and don’t forget about Francisco Lindor. He’ll be a factor sooner than you think, although the nagging back injury is something to watch.

Third base has Lonnie Chisenhall and Mike Aviles.

Left field has Michael Brantley and David Murphy.

Center field has Michael Bourn or Drew Stubbs or even David Murphy.

Right field has David Murphy, Ryan Raburn and even Nick Swisher, in a pinch.

Clearly, the area of need is shortstop and third base, but it’s possible that the Indians do nothing at third, hoping that Chisenhall is ready to cut out the dumb mistakes. Shortstop is likely tied down because of Asdrubal Cabrera’s horrid 2013 season, but I do feel that the Indians will be applying some of their offseason magic there as well.

Mike Aviles can be an everyday shortstop.

So can Jose Ramirez, no matter what anyone tells you. I know that the front office says that they don’t know what he can do as a shortstop, but truthfully, could care a less at this point what the front office says. The grapevine of information that I can garner here at the High A level believes that with a larger sample size, Jose Ramirez can play a more than adequate short, if the need is there. Right now, that call is with Terry Francona anyways, and he has a history of giving his trusted rookies a chance.

I ask you to use the eye test.

Did Terry Francona give Ramirez a chance last September?

Did Ramirez make the roster for the playoff game?

Will Ramirez get a chance in 2014?

Sure, the conservative views may be right, and he may be utilized as a utility guy.

Or…perhaps the Indians will give Ramirez a chance in April to take over the job if Asdrubal is dealt.

Trust me, that’s more fluid than people are saying, and I have no horse in this race. I don’t care if I’m right…I just understand that Francona may ultimately give Ramirez a chance to be a regular because his skill set is a benefit to this roster. Sure, he could be a utility guy for now as well.

That’s still not in stone.

Chisenhall is the bigger curiosity, and one I’ll address in the next couple of weeks. If Aviles is utilized is a primary shortstop if Asdrubal is traded, will Lonnie be the primary third baseman?

Where is Ramirez more valuable?

Is it as a platooning third baseman or as a shortstop?

Options.

David Murphy really gives the Indians’ options to really solidify this team, should options become available.

The Indians will most definitely be focusing their attention on the rotation and the bullpen. I’ve seen several articles talking about the Indians taking on a reliever that would cost them in the $5 million dollar range. Folks, if the Tribe is going to do that, then they would have already signed Joe Smith.

It’s not going to happen.

Unless…the Indians deal Cabrera for a reliever, which could happen.

Okay, so this is when the Nellie No-No’s talk about Cabrera being worthless and he can’t be traded and he could increase his value.

Yeah, I get that.

I also get that a team could be willing to take a one-year flier on a sub-30 year old shortstop with only one-year left on his contract, and that giving up a bullpen arm wouldn’t be a big deal.

I get that as well.

You see, the Indians will likely, and have already likely looked at this option. They aren’t as regimented in their thinking as many of the fans of the club are.

Will they pull a deal like that? It has to be right, and it has to be a guy that Francona and Mickey Callaway value.

As per the rotation, there’s a lot of talk about Phil Hughes and Scott Feldman. Both would be excellent additions to this team, as would a flier on a guy like Scott Baker.

Look for the Tribe to attack the free agent wire for a starter or two over the next three weeks.

With Josh Johnson off the market, we could start seeing moves for the mid-and-lower tier players moving forward over the next few days.

Tony and I will be rolling out a Smoke Signals tonight regarding the Murphy deal and the possible direction the Indians may go in over the next few weeks tonight at 8:00. You can also check out several pods we’ve done with fellow IBI writer Michael Hattery over at soundcloud. IBI’s staff will cover it all, as we do every year.

Jim is currently the senior editor and Columnist, as well as  the host of IBI's weekly online radio shows, Smoke Signals and Cleveland Sports Insiders. You can follow Jim on Twitter @Jim_IBI, or contact him via e-mail at jpete@indiansprospectinsider.com.

User Comments

Jimmy
November 21, 2013 - 10:01 AM EST
Just a thought: Put Ramirez at shortstop and Cabrera at third base if we cannot get Chase Headley from San Diego. Cabrera is still a very good player and could play third base with any problem. I think to promote Lee and Carrasco, who really showed last year that his position is relief, would fill the gaps in the bull pen. I think Nick H. would be a good pitcher if he would calm down and think about how to pitch since when he is in trouble, he will try to pitch 150 mph pass the hitter. He needs to use his head more and maybe develop a good slider as a change of pace....Callahan project. You know that losing U or K hurts, since Cleveland gave them a chance, Cleveland stayed with U after leading the league in losses in 2012. We have many young players that need to be given a chance and hey, these players are very good and don't have to sign a superstar. Finally, the only position to be addressed is third base, where Lonnie was given every chance but couldn't do it.
Chase or Cabrera could be the answer. I watched Mike last year struggle with runners in scoring position and don't think he could be that everyday player but a super sub and teammate.
Willie
November 21, 2013 - 7:34 AM EST
I agree, the upside is still there but my expectations have been lowered... He's a guy I thought would break right out of the gate, but reality is some young Pitchers never pull it altogether.

I expect a (controlled) aggressive and active offseason for the Tribe. I think they'll be active in a number of trade talks, I wouldn't be surprised to see one reasonable trade for a SP or 3b.
Jim
November 21, 2013 - 12:10 AM EST
The upside with Bauer is still there, and Carrasco still has value...and I do think he could maintain his starter status, depending on what the Indians do there. I think they'll bring in a couple guys, whether it be free agency or trade, for depth. If they do that, Bauer has to compete, and I still think the Indians are looking at him as a mid season or injury replacement.

Now, he could change minds with a big spring, but I wouldn't necessarily hold my breath.

There's ability...I just wish the Indians would treat him like the rest of the prospects.

Should be a fluid and interesting hot stove...

...I hope...
Willie
November 20, 2013 - 9:08 PM EST
Jim,

I'm a fan of Trevor Bauer. I won't right him off after one tough season. That being said, I have lowered my expectations on him. If he develops to a MOR arm I'd be happy, but there's so much more there to hope on. I still believe there's a very narrow chance he could develop into a 1 / 2 type arm (not an ACE).
Jim
November 20, 2013 - 8:40 PM EST
Willie, there's a small part of me that thinks the Indians and Callaway are counting on a Bauer rebound, as well as another signing.

That would be huge.

I know a lot of folks have counted him out, including several area scouts down here...but I still think there's some hope...
Willie
November 20, 2013 - 3:59 PM EST
I agree Phil Hughes seems like a Tribe type target - bounce back deal. I think Josh Johnson's deal would be a place to start in negotiations. Maybe a 1 yr deal and a good size option yr tagged on would entice him. Regardless, I think the Tribe has to add a cpl more options to the stable. Just a thought - how nice would it be for Trevor Bauer to force his way into the rotation - just thinking out loud...

Hiram
November 20, 2013 - 3:41 PM EST
This was a tremendous article.... Bravo, Bravo!!!!
Jim
November 20, 2013 - 3:23 PM EST
Tony, any info on 40 man moves?
Tony
November 20, 2013 - 2:42 PM EST
Walter, I think it is safe to say that Stubbs will not be non-tendered. Already known trade interest in him, so worst case the Indians tender him and trade him later this offseason, or hell, even carry him into spring training if need be. But I have a hunch the Stubbs situation will be cleared up very soon.

Bottom line, Jim makes some great points in this piece. And that is the Indians now have options. The Murphy deal in a lot of ways reminds me of the Aviles pickup last season as their first move. It gave them the option to trade Cabrera. Now, we might see the same option but with the possibility to trade Stubbs or even Bourn.
Walter
November 20, 2013 - 2:30 PM EST
It would be great to trade Cabrera if possible. Please do not non tender Stubbs. He has trade value and there are teams looking for player who could play center field. I believe he's better CF than Bourn. The problem he cant hit with any consistency.
Cabrera is still useful at SS. He is playing for a new contract which means he will have rebound year in 14.

Low risk with potential high reward is Phil Hughes. He is only 27. Maybe by getting out New York might get his career back on track. Offer many 1yr contract similar to what Josh Johnson got with the Padres.

I still hope Kazmir is on the Indians radar. I also hope if not Kazmir than pursue Haren and Colon.

A similar trade scenario for Rogers/Gomes an Aviles might be done with Stubbs or maybe even Carrasco. Not sure what teams the Indians would target. Hot Stove juices are now flowing. Next 30 - 45 days will be interesting. Go Tribe!!!
Tony
November 20, 2013 - 2:00 PM EST
Willie, if the Indians can somehow swing a Cabrera deal, I'm all for it. I have no problem with putting Aviles at shortstop as a stop gap and having Ramirez fill the utility role that Aviles had last year. Or shoot, if he proves himself capable, becoming the regular at shortstop at some point during the season and flip flopping roles with Aviles.
Tony
November 20, 2013 - 1:58 PM EST
I agree Jim.....Francona has had the magic touch.....and seems to be giving Antonetti sound advice. I know that his impact has been huge for the front office just as much as for the team on the field. The front office listens to him. And rightfully so.
Jim
November 20, 2013 - 1:47 PM EST
I have confidence in the front office that they'll make all the right moves this offseason...they've earned it over the past year...

Willie
November 20, 2013 - 1:12 PM EST
I think the Tribe would be better served to trade ACab or Bourn to fill a SP slot and possibly unload some salary to either add another arm or bat to the mix.
Tony
November 20, 2013 - 12:48 PM EST
Yeah, the left side of the infield is definitely a big question mark for next season. That's for sure.

I would love to see the Indians trade Cabrera so they can reallocate that money elsewhere and get a headstart on that transition at the position. But I still get the feeling he will be kept as the interest in him may be very limited and they may bank on a big year in his free agent season. There is some sound reasoning to do that.

I'm iffy on Aviles. If it means putting him at shortstop so they can use Cabrera's savings for a pitching need or two, so be it. Aviles probably would be no worse defensively and offensively as Cabrera was in 2013. It would also likely speed up the possible transition of Lindor to the bigs, who if he is good to go and is doing well, could impact the team by June.

Ramirez might be a solid stop gap option, but just don't see him being one out of the gates. He barely played in September when he was called up (14 total plate appearances). He was up mostly as an extra and to give the team a late inning baserunner. He had just one start (at third base). I'm a big fan of Ramirez, everyone should know that since he was in my Top 5 listing going into the season, but think his value is tied mostly as a starting second baseman and a utility option at the other positions. Definitely a great depth option to have since he is all but slated to open as the shortstop/second baseman at Columbus (unless Cabrera is trade), and as always, perhaps he surprises later in the year and makes himself more of a full time option at a position other than second base. Just a great problem to have for the Indians. I can't wait to see him up full time with the club.
Michael H
November 20, 2013 - 12:30 PM EST
If Asdrubel Cabrera is our every day SS, I could not be less confident.
Jim
November 20, 2013 - 12:14 PM EST
Nick, I'm fairly certain that the coaching staff realizes the limitations of Mike Aviles as an everyday player, in the same way that they know David Murphy and Ryan Raburn are limited.

Aviles would only start in the absence of a better replacement.

I firmly believe that Terry Francona will keep that in mind.
Nick
November 20, 2013 - 11:57 AM EST
If Mike Aviles is our every day SS, I'm not feeling very confident.

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