2012 MLB Draft: Live draft blog
June 4, 2012
9:38 PM: Wow, what a crazy hour that was. Right when the Indians selected Texas A&M outfielder Tyler Naquin at #15, the site literally blew up. Major, major traffic all at once crashed the site, but after about a 40 minute power outage, we are back up. My apologies. In any case, that will do it for the blog tonight.....info on the Naquin pick is up on the site here:
8:38 PM: The White Sox took prep outfielder Courtney Hawkins (damn). The Reds are on the clock at #14 and the Indians are on deck at #15. The top six players on our IPI Draft board right now are right-handers Lucas Giolito, Marcus Stroman, and Chris Stratton, shortstop Deven Marrero, and third basemen Stephen Piscotty and Richie Shaffer.
8:29 PM: The Mets took prep shortstop Gavin Cecchini at #12. Prep righty Lucas Giolito continues to slide, and chances are he will be there when the Indians pick. Sorry Tribe fans, I just don't see him being selected by the Indians even if he is there. Still think they prefer to go safer route with a college arm (Stratton/Wacha/Stroman) or bat (Piscotty/Shaffer/Marrero).
8:20 PM: At #10 the Rockies took prep outfielder David Dahl and the A's took prep shortstop Addison Russell at #11. The Indians are four picks away, and according to Jeff Ellis' big board, the next four best players are righty-hander Lucas Giolito, third baseman Richie Shaffer, third baseman/outfielder Stephen Piscotty, and righty Marcus Stroman.
8:07 PM: The Padres have taken prep left-hander Max Fried at #7, the Pirates have taken Stanford righty Mark Appel at #8, and at #9 the Marlins have selected Oklahoma State lefty Andrew Heaney. So going from #1 to #8, Appel goes from a slot bonus of $7.2M to $2.9M. The Pirates only have a $6.6M budget, and it is believed Appel wanted more than that to sign at #1, so it will be interesting to see how the Pirates handle this negotiation and if they incur any draft penalties.
IPI's Jeff Ellis on Heaney selection: "Heaney was the obvious pick that no one else seemed to see. I knew he would not get past Miami. They love pitchers from Oklahoma."
7:49 PM: The Orioles have taken LSU right-hander Kevin Gausman at #4, the Royals took University of San Francisco right-hander Kyle Zimmer, and the Cubs have taken prep outfielder Albert Amora at #6. The big news of the draft so far is the NFL Draft-like slide of Mark Appel, though with the new bonus pool setup and him being a Boras client, it looks like he is simply falling for signability reasons. At this point, he might slide out of the top ten, and if he continues to fall to the Indians, do they even consider him?
7:35 PM: The Twins took prep outfielder Byron Buxton at #2 and the Mariners took Florida catcher Mike Zunino. Stanford right-hander Mark Appel, the player many felt would go #1, is sliding though is expected to be selected at #4 by the Orioles or #5 by the Royals.
7:17 PM: The 2012 MLB Draft is underway, and the Astros have taken prep shortstop Carlos Correa with the #1 overall pick. And with that, almost every mock draft just went up in flames.
Quick take from Jeff Ellis: "I bet he was willing to sign under slot. Even still he was 2 on my board and top 3 on most. He is not a bad pick, I think he might hit more home runs than anyone in this draft."
6:17 PM: One final mock draft note comes from another reputable national source, John Sickels. He has the Indians taking Oklahoma State left-hander Andrew Heaney at #15, which is where a lot of people had him just a few days ago. Heaney is actually in studio at the MLB Network studios. The consensus appears to be the Indians take a college arm, which is understandable considering the lack of depth with college position players and the Indians maybe not wanting to go prep with their first pick for the second straight year.
6:08 PM: That did not take long. With all the momentum being gained with Mississippi State right-hander Chris Stratton getting to the Indians in four final mock drafts from Callis, Goldstein, Mayo and Law, Goldstrein now says there is a wild rumor out there (which he says he is not buying) that says the Royals may consider him at #5.
Another national mock, though not as mainstream, comes from Perfect Game (which probably covers the draft as good as anybody). Patrick Ebert predicts that the Indians take Texas A&M right-handed pitcher Michael Wacha at #15 (Stratton goes at #14 to the Reds in his mock).
5:30 PM: Add MLB.com's Jonathan Mayo to the mix as another national draft pundit that believes the Indians will select Mississippi State right-hander Chris Stratton with their first pick. All of the national pundits from Baseball America (Callis), ESPN (Law), Baseball Prospectus (Goldstein), and MLB.com (Mayo) are in unison believing the Indians take Stratton. Just speculating here, but when four national writers are in unison like this, this to me implies that Stratton and his agent have seen a lot of the Indians this spring. Also, that there have been discussions already between him and the Indians talking about what he would sign for if they take him.
In Keith Law's final mock he also mentions that the Indians are on prep outfielder David Dahl and, of no surprise, Oklahoma State left-hander Andrew Heaney. It should be noted that both of those players were off the board when the Indians picked in his mock.
3:18 PM: Things are pretty quiet with the Indians today, but that is to be expected since they are picking later in the draft this year and not in the Top 8 like the previous two drafts. But, it really looks like the Indians are targetting a college arm with the first pick.
Also, ESPN's Keith Law posted his final mock and he has the Indians taking right-hander Chris Stratton. Law, Callis and Goldstein have all not predicted the Indians take Stratton, so either they know something or they are just working off each other.
12:02 PM: A quick update for some of the casual followers of the draft. If you do not know a lot about the players, I suggest you check out Jeff's Big Board which posted on Saturday and lists his Top 35 players. Should be all you need to follow the first round on TV tonight.
Also, some final mocks are up. These often don't mean much since even the experts only get 5-6 picks at most in the first round correct....but always interesting to see where the experts see some guys going as they do have their ear to the ground and hear things. Jim Callis and Kevin Goldstein both have the Indians taking right-handed pitcher Chris Stratton out of Mississippi State in their final mocks today, but the feeling is if Stratton or lefty Andrew Heaney are gone they could go after Michael Wacha, Marcus Stroman, Richie Shafer, or Stephen Piscotty.
11:12 AM: Draft day is here.
I don’t know about you, but it feels like yesterday that we were getting geared up for the 2011 Draft. Boy does time fly.
As in years past, the IPI will be all over the draft this week and up through the signing deadline with information, scouting reports, news, and much more. As each pick is made we will be throwing up draft capsules literally minutes after the picks. Draft guru Jeff Ellis will once again be providing write-ups on each drafted player and we will also have pictures, video, bios, and other information on players included in their draft capsules literally minutes after the pick.
Also, as in years past, I'll be providing post-day commentary each morning with analysis, quotes, and tons of stuff from scouts and people in the know. These writeups will be available to premium members only. In addition, I'll be providing daily signing updates up through the July 13th signing deadline.
One thing to note is that picks 2-40 will not be listed on the front page. In order not to bog down the front page and slider, we will only be posting them to the “News” section, which is the top left tab below the site header. As each pick is made, we will update and post the picks to that page. We will have one homepage article each morning that will direct people to that page as a reminder.
Also, this blog post will continue to be updated throughout the day today as new information becomes available. We will also post some commentary in this post throughout the day and during the draft up until the Indians first pick.
In any case, tonight at 7:00 p.m. ET the 2012 First-Year Player Draft will commence, and it can be seen live on the MLB Network in their Secaucus, N.J studio. They will also air a preview show, simulcast on MLB.com, at 6 p.m. ET.
Here is the draft order for the first round:
13. White Sox
17. Blue Jays
19. Cardinals (compensation from Angels for Pujols signing)
22. Blue Jays (compensation for not signing 2011 pick)
24. Red Sox
27. Brewers (compensation from Tigers for Fielder signing)
31. Red Sox (compensation from Phillies for Papelbon signing)
- The draft will carry over three days as the first round and first round supplemental round will only be held tonight, rounds 2-15 will be on Tuesday, and rounds 16-40 will be on Wednesday. The draft picks back up at noon on both Tuesday and Wednesday.
- There will be a five minute interval between picks in the first round, and then one minute between picks from the first round supplemental round through the tenth round of the draft. Rounds 11-40 will be like the old way where picks are named off without delay. Both day two and day three of the draft will be held via a conference call from MLB headquarters in New York.
- This year the draft is only 40 rounds, down ten rounds from the 50 it had been for some time. With the new bonus pool limitations with spending on picks after the 10th round, it was felt that the final ten rounds were kind of useless as teams will be unable to take fliers on guys with those picks like they once used to. Even though ten rounds have been dropped from the draft, just as many players are expected to be brought into the organization, but now there will simply be more undrafted free agent signings.
- Speaking of the bonus pool, this is something that is going to be very interesting to follow this year since it is the first year it has been implemented into the draft. Each club has a set amount of money that they can spend on their picks in the first ten rounds depending on where they are picking and how many picks they have.
Here is the Indians bonus pool:
|Round 1 (#15)||$2,250,000|
|Round 2 (#79)||$639,700|
|Round 3 (#110)||$432,700|
|Round 4 (#143)||$314,700|
|Round 5 (#173)||$235,600|
|Round 6 (#203)||$176,600|
|Round 7 (#233)||$145,600|
|Round 8 (#263)||$136,000|
|Round 9 (#293)||$127,000|
|Round 10 (#323)||$125,000|
- It is important to note that the Indians cannot simply punt on picks to use that money to help sign another player. If they do not sign a player, that money is lost in the bonus pool. For example, if they decide to not sign their 3rd round pick valued at $432,700, they can’t just reallocate that money to their 9th rounder as that money from their 3rd round pick is gone.
- However, unused money from a pick can certainly be used toward other picks. So, in the example above, say they sign their 3rd rounder for $332,700, then they can use the extra $100,000 they did not spend on their 3rd rounder and use it toward the signing of another player. Bottom line, the Indians can use the money in the first ten rounds however they see fit so long as the player is signed.
- After the 10th round, teams can spend whatever they want on players up to $100,000 and the signing does not count against their bonus pool. Teams can sign a player above $100,000 after the 10th round, but then that signing is counted against their bonus pool.
- The penalties for going over your draft bonus pool allotment are pretty severe. If a team goes from 0-5% over they will be taxed at a rate of 75% of the overage. If a team is over by 5-10% then they are taxed the 75% and also lose their first round pick in the next draft. If a team goes over by 10-15% then they are taxed 100% and they lose a first and second round pick. Anything over 15% and the team is taxed 100% and they lose their first round pick in the next two drafts.
- Don't forget to keep checking back into the site throughout the day for updates to this blog post. As updates are provided they will be posted at the top of the page.
Follow Tony and the Indians Prospect Insider on Twitter @TonyIBI. Also, his new book the 2013 Cleveland Indians Baseball Insider which profiles the Indians' Top 100 Prospects and more is available for sale.